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Debon Securities: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in the fields of liquor, beer and leisure snacks. Debon Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: The dealer conference will set the tone for next year, giving priority to the opportunities of low-value leading layout. Recently, wine companies have intensively held dealer meetings to set the tone for next year's growth. At present, wine enterprises are generally rational and pragmatic, and reasonable speed reduction reduces the burden on channels. With a series of economic policies, the consumption of enterprises and residents is expected to pick up in 2025. The competitiveness of head enterprises has been further enhanced through continuous evolution, so it is suggested to grasp the investment opportunities with low expectations at present. 2) Beer: The overall performance of the third quarterly report is under pressure due to the weak recovery of demand and weather, but it is expected that the ton price of major beer enterprises will maintain a steady and rising trend throughout the year. With the introduction of a series of policies to stimulate consumption, terminal demand is expected to improve, and the recovery of ready-to-drink scenes such as catering is expected to promote the upgrading and continuation of beer structure. 3) Leisure snacks: The performance of leisure snack enterprises is further differentiated, and the performance of high-potential targets is optimistic in the peak season. In the third quarter, the performance of leisure and snack enterprises was divided, and the growth toughness of high-potential enterprises remained the same. The follow-up Spring Festival peak season is expected to bring the possibility of exceeding expectations. At present, the level of income profit rate of head enterprises is expected to remain stable.Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.Ubs keeps the rating of western oil companies neutral.

Yuanfei Pet: The company's overseas sales revenue and profits are on the rise. On December 9, Yuanfei Pet said that at present, the company maintains a good development trend and we have great confidence in the future market development at home and abroad. Since the beginning of this year, due to the continuous increase in the demand of the pet industry and the continuous rise in the company's comprehensive competitiveness, the sales revenue and profit realization of the company's overseas sales have shown an upward trend. At present, the company has put into production a total of four production bases, and has two production bases in Pingyang, Wenzhou, which are equipped with many production lines such as pet snacks, pet traction appliances and pet toys. There are two production bases in Cambodia, namely, Aitao, Cambodia, which focuses on pet food, and Ryder, Cambodia, which focuses on pet products. In the second half of this year, Ryder, Cambodia added a new pet toy production line. In addition, factories in Bangladesh and China are under construction.Electric connection technology: Shanghai Hesai Technology is a customer of the company. Electric connection technology said on the interactive platform on December 10 that Shanghai Hesai Technology is a customer of the company.Chenglian Branch: In November, the retail sales of domestic narrow passenger car market reached 2.424 million, up 16.6% year-on-year. On December 10th, according to the latest retail sales statistics of china automobile dealers association Passenger Car Market Information Branch, the retail sales of domestic narrow passenger car market reached 2.424 million in November, up 16.6% year-on-year and 7.2% quarter-on-quarter. From January to November, the cumulative sales volume was 20.258 million vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%.

Details of the arrest of the person involved in the killing of the CEO of the insurance giant in new york surfaced: Luigi Mangione, who was regarded by the new york police as the person involved in the murder of Brian Thompson, an executive of UnitedHealth Group Inc, was arrested in Pennsylvania on Monday, and now he is accused of possessing illegal firearms and using false identification. According to the criminal indictment issued by the Pennsylvania court system on Monday night, Mangione, 26, made her first appearance in the court in Hollidaysburg. He was charged with five counts, including forgery, holding a gun without a license and showing false documents to law enforcement agencies. Mangione was detained by the police after being recognized and reported by employees in a McDonald's restaurant in Altoona that morning. The police officer asked him to show his identity, and Mangione took out a New Jersey driver's license named "Mark Rosario" and the date of birth was July 1998. The police officer then asked him if he had been to new york recently. "The man fell silent and began to tremble," the indictment said. When more police arrived at the scene, Mangione was told that he was under investigation and would be arrested if he lied about his identity. He later said that his name was Luigi Mangione and that he was born in May 1998. A police officer asked Mangione why he lied, and he replied, "I obviously shouldn't." The police arrested him on charges of forgery and providing false information to law enforcement agencies. He was handcuffed, searched and taken back to the police station. A black pistol and a silencer were found in his backpack, both of which were made of 3D printers. This pistol has a metal sleeve, a metal threaded barrel and a plastic handle, and a Glock magazine with six 9mm bullets. A dropped bullet was also found in the defendant's backpack.Aoyuan Group: It failed to pay off the due debt principal of about 43 billion yuan in time. Aoyuan Group Co., Ltd. issued an announcement to disclose the latest situation of the company's debt settlement and pending litigation. According to the announcement, as of November 30, 2024, the accumulated debt principal that Aoyuan Group failed to pay off in time was about 43.028 billion yuan, of which the open market debt principal that failed to pay off in time was 250,000 yuan; The company and its subsidiaries are involved in a number of major pending lawsuits, involving about 60.600 billion yuan, including about 52.554 billion yuan related to financing and 8.046 billion yuan related to non-financing. In addition, Aoyuan Group has 64 pieces of information about untrustworthy executors, involving a total amount of 2.228 billion yuan.CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.